Problems at Defkalion?
|May 19, 2012||Posted by Jack Cole under Brillouin Energy - Robert Godes, Defkalion|
Sterling’s Assessment: A group Defkalion is working with wants them to postpone posting data from their tests until August when there is a big conference where they will be making a presentation. The scuttlebutt is that while the third party test results have been positive, there have been indications of instability and inconsistency between tests, which doesn’t speak well for production readiness. They’re still on track as a leader, but not in first position any more. In my opinion, the long delay in posting those test results which were supposed to be forthcoming even as early as during the testing, contrary to their promised early release, is a significant setback.
Saying that the results are positive, would seem to be a positive spin. It would seem to be more accurate to state that the results were mixed. To speculate, it seems likely they were showing pretty good excess heat measurements, but they have difficulty with sustaining the reaction and that excess heat is produced at inconsistent levels. This would seem to confirm Robert Godes prediction that both Defkalion and Rossi would have trouble with regulating their reactions in a steady-state way and trouble with turning the reactions on and off.
If Godes is correct in his understanding of regulating the process, perhaps Defkalion would do well to license the intellectual property for controlling the reaction from Godes rather than attempting to develop better regulation processes on their own. The fact that it has taken Godes 10 years to perfect the process would suggest that Defkalion could encounter significant problems getting to the point of producing a commercial product within a reasonable time frame. It is a concern that they seem to be moving forward so quickly with attempting to commercialize a process that has significant concerns in pre-prototype form. A big concern is that they will overextend themselves financially with factories and many employees, but no stable product to produce.
See also E-Cat World’s take on the issue.