Positive Anecdotes and Negative Replications
|November 28, 2015||Posted by Jack Cole under Alexander Parkhomov, Andrea Rossi, E-Cat, Edmund Storms, Mats Lewan|
Mats Lewan has conducted an excellent interview with Andrea Rossi’s “right hand man:” Fulvio Fabiani. Fabiani seems completely convinced that both the 1MW plant and E-Cat X are working well (i.e., producing copious excess heat). This is a nice positive anecdote for the reality of a functioning E-Cat. If true, it is a truly remarkable technology.
“Until now the test is in line with the result that we expected. We encountered the biggest problems during the design and installation phase of the test plant. The most difficult thing was the choice of materials needed to withstand this new kind of energy release and this type of operation for such a long time. And we have found many little flaws—teething problems. For example, also the choice of bolts has led to a revision because some bolts were not sufficiently treated with anti-corrosive, and so they rusted. But if you don’t test you cannot say that you have a product to sell.”
“I have really seen… Did you see Blade Runner? The quote at the end, ‘I’ve seen things you people wouldn’t believe’. It’s true. I assure you that I have seen things that only I, Rossi and a few other people saw. We really saw things… I really saw the new frontier of energy. There is nothing in comparison. You cannot imagine. I speak of the E-CatX* and many others of Rossi’s experiments. We have tried lots of things, and we have made some twenty and more different reactors. And I can assure you that with some of them we have truly seen a new world. Energy density, reaction capacity, in the sense of things never seen. The new frontier of energy.”
Conversely, we find reason for pessimism coming from reports of more negative replication attempts. In a discussion with Peter Gluck on his blog Ego Out, respected CF researcher, Edmund Storms states that despite having conducted dozens of attempts to replicate the E-Cat, he has had not one success. Any other positive replication attempts achieved so far could easily be considered by scientists to be either in error or rumor/anecdotal (i.e., not scientific). The hard data are not pointing in a positive direction, but rumor and anecdote are giving some reasons for optimism. Sadly, there does not seem to be any significant success in applying the concepts from Rossi’s patent, or Parkhomov’s methods, to achieve an repeatedly replicable effect.
Ed: Here you focus on the lack of reproducibility. Yes, this is a problem both for the PdD and NiH systems. In fact, LENR using PdD has been replicated far more often than energy production using NiH. In my case, I have made dozens of attempts to replicate Rossi with no success. In contrast, I can often replicate LENR using PdD. Replication requires knowing the important variables required to form the NAE. We do not have this knowledge, which I trying to get. Knowing were to look is the first requirement. I see very little interest being focused on where I think the knowledge can be found.
Recently, I attempted another replication. While it seemed initially promising, follow-up experiments raised doubt. On the positive side, I developed some very good algorithms for testing self-sustained operation. Should excess heating be achieved, the method would provide another method of demonstrating excess heat.